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2024-12-13 05:32:37
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The performance of deep thinking AI model exceeds the existing weather forecast. A study published in the new issue of Nature reported the latest machine learning model introduced by deep thinking. The model can make reliable probabilistic weather forecast according to current and future weather, and its performance not only exceeds the best traditional medium-range weather forecast, but also can better predict extreme weather, tropical cyclone route and wind energy production.Bank of Brazil: The Committee has been paying close attention to how recent financial developments affect monetary policy and financial assets.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.


Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed.The Palestinian Islamic Jihad (Jehad) said that a delegation, including its leaders, arrived in Cairo on Wednesday to discuss the negotiation of the hostage-for-prisoner agreement.Blackstone secured loan fund will issue 300 million USD 5.350% unsecured notes at a fixed price, with a maturity date of 2028.


On December 11th, the top 20 in US stock turnover: Tesla reached a new high, with Musk's net worth exceeding 400 billion US dollars. On Wednesday, Tesla, the first in US stock turnover, closed up 5.93%, and its share price reached a record high, with a turnover of 42.296 billion US dollars. The CEO of the company, Musk, became the first person in the world with a net worth of more than 400 billion US dollars, setting a new milestone for the richest man in the world. It is reported that the latest catalyst is SpaceX's internal stock sale transaction and Tesla's share price hit a new high, which increased Musk's net asset value by about 50 billion US dollars to 439.2 billion US dollars. (Global Market Broadcast)The offshore RMB (CNH) was quoted at 7.2791 yuan against the US dollar at 05:59 Beijing time, down 212 points from late new york on Tuesday, and traded in the range of 7.2425-7.2921 yuan in the whole day. After the A-share market closed, there was a rapid decline.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.

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